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Colony / Patterns

Patterns & Knowledge

Crystallized intelligence from collective behavior

Crystallized Patterns

Proven patterns that have survived hundreds of market cycles. These are the colony's permanent knowledge - patterns with high accuracy that guide future decisions.

Superhighway Explorer

Network graph of strong signal edges. Superhighways are paths with pheromone levels above 20 - the most reliable routes the colony has discovered.

Danger Zones

Patterns to avoid. These market states have consistently led to losses. The colony learns from failure as much as success.

Knowledge Growth

Emergence level and learning metrics. Track how the colony's collective intelligence grows over time through pattern discovery and refinement.

How Patterns Crystallize

Pattern crystallization is how the colony converts temporary observations into permanent knowledge. When ants repeatedly succeed with a particular market state and action combination, that pattern accumulates pheromones.

Once a pattern exceeds a threshold of confidence (typically 70%+ accuracy over 100+ observations), it crystallizes - becoming permanent colony knowledge that guides all future decisions.

Crystallization Formula

crystallize_score = accuracy * sqrt(observations)

// Threshold: score > 7.0

Min accuracy > 70%
Min observations 100 cycles
Decay protection Permanent

Pattern Lifecycle

Observe

Ants detect market patterns and record outcomes

Accumulate

Successful patterns gain pheromone strength

Crystallize

High-confidence patterns become permanent

Propagate

Knowledge guides all colony decisions

Types of Colony Knowledge

Working
Active Patterns

Patterns currently being used for trading decisions. These have proven profitable but continue to accumulate evidence.

  • volume_breakout_high (84%)
  • atr_breakout_high (76%)
  • regime_transition_bullish (71%)
Inverted
Contrarian Signals

Low-accuracy patterns that have been flipped. When a pattern consistently predicts wrong, reversing it creates edge.

  • rsi_oversold (23% raw, 77% inverted)
  • macd_cross_bullish (31% raw, 69% inverted)
Danger
Avoidance Zones

Market states where losses are highly probable. The colony avoids these conditions entirely rather than trying to trade them.

  • High volatility + low volume
  • Regime uncertainty periods
  • Funding rate extremes

Emergent Knowledge

The colony's knowledge emerges from millions of micro-decisions. No single ant knows the whole picture, but together they discover patterns invisible to any individual observer.